WN 1241 · CLT → STL

departs 10:38 AM ET · arrives 11:31 AM CT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at STL more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to STL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ CLT is prone to delays

↑ CLT is busy at that time

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Arrivals into STL at that hour are usually not late

↓ 10am departures from CLT are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

STL (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1241 · CLT → STL

Odds over time

How late will it get to STL?