WN 2573 · PVD → DCA

departs 4:53 PM ET · arrives 6:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↑ 4pm departures from PVD are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.24 in

DCA (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2573 · PVD → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?