WN 2938 · DCA → MDW

departs 1:03 PM ET · arrives 2:08 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 19h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.33333 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DCA that day

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.33333 mi Precip0.25 in

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 2938 · DCA → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?