WN 295 · DCA → DAL

departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 11:04 AM CT

Your aircraft is N8875B (B38M), coming in as WN 536 from BNA: still at BNA, due off about 5:51 AM CT, 48 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to DAL?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at DCA that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↑ 9am departures from DCA are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.06 in

DAL (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 295 · DCA → DAL

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAL?