WN 3404 · DEN → MIA

departs 12:47 PM MT · arrives 6:39 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Gusts to 27 kt forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts32 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling3,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3404 · DEN → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?