WN 3516 · PIT → MCO

departs 4:18 PM ET · arrives 6:45 PM ET

Your aircraft is N8321D (B738), coming in as WN 2964 from MDW: landed 3:30 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi forecast at PIT that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PIT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.5 mi Precip0.06 in

MCO (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3516 · PIT → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?