WN 3570 · OMA → LAS

departs 6:36 AM CT · arrives 7:38 AM PT

Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

7% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
93%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↑ LAS is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 6am departures from OMA are usually not late

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAS (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 3570 · OMA → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?