WN 4233 · BOS → MDW

departs 6:32 PM ET · arrives 8:10 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8699A (B738), coming in as WN 2539 from BNA: in the air, landing about 5:52 PM ET, 31 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

76% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
49%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 6pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

MDW (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4233 · BOS → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?