WN 430 · LGA → DEN

departs 1:58 PM ET · arrives 3:53 PM MT

Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

40% chance · ±4 pts −12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from LGA are often late

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.02 in

DEN (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 430 · LGA → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?