Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4588
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
WN 4588 · BWI → ALB
departs 10:35 PM ET · arrives 12:02 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 72%
Mon 10/12
Tue 10/13 17%
Wed 10/14 16%
Thu 10/15 20%
Fri 10/16 24%
Sat 10/17 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at ALB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ALB?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 233 ft Visibility 1.2 mi Precip 0.35 in
ALB (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.40 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.