WN 49 · BWI → CLT

departs 2:04 PM ET · arrives 3:35 PM ET

Your aircraft is N950WN (B737), coming in as WN 1167 from SDF: still at SDF, due off about 12:02 PM ET, 49 min before departure.

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 AM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts +8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from BWI are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BWI that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

BWI (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip0.24 in

CLT (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 49 · BWI → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?