WN 608 · PVD → DCA

departs 8:30 AM ET · arrives 10:10 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 8:00 PM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±0 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at DCA that day

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at PVD that day

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.46 in

DCA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.24 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 608 · PVD → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?