WN 807 · BOS → MDW

departs 1:04 PM ET · arrives 2:42 PM CT

Your aircraft is N8848Q (B38M), coming in as WN 1648 from MCI: landed 12:34 PM ET.

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts +12 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MDW?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 27% of the time recently

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

MDW (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 807 · BOS → MDW

Odds over time

How late will it get to MDW?