Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
WESTJET · FLIGHT WS 1016
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Tomorrow
WS 1016 · YYC → PHX
departs 12:15 PM MDT · arrives 2:26 PM MT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 27h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 63%
Mon 10/12
Sat 10/17 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±9 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave YYC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at PHX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at PHX that day
↑
PHX is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into PHX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at YYC
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
YYC (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PHX (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.