WS 1810 · YYC → MSP

departs 10:15 AM MDT · arrives 1:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

14% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 1,100 ft forecast at YYC that day

↑ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

YYC (origin) Gusts16 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling7,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WS 1810 · YYC → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?