YX 3600 · YUL → ORD

took off 6:20 AM EDT · expected to land 7:13 AM CT (scheduled 6:10 AM EDT → 7:50 AM CT)

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

<1% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to ORD?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YUL

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

YUL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility7 mi Precip0.03 in

ORD (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 3600 · YUL → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?