tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4496 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 4:09 PM ET (17 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

YX 4496 · LGA → BUF

departs 3:42 PM ET · arrives 5:11 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 5h before departure
Arrive at BUF more than 15 minutes late?
59% chance · ±0 pts +29 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h Now Departs Lands

How late will it get to BUF?

  1. On time or early
    40%
  2. 15–30 min late
    39%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    16%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.