tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4556 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:55 PM EDT (16 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)
Today

YX 4556 · YYZ → LGA

departs 3:29 PM EDT · arrives 5:17 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
36% chance · ±0 pts −14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.6d 2d 1d Now 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LGA?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    <1%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    8%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.