YX 4607 · LGA → ATL

departs 1:46 PM ET · arrives 4:28 PM ET

Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±5 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling333 ft Visibility0.666667 mi Precip0.12 in

ATL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 4607 · LGA → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?