Schedule: FAA flight plans.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5638
IN THE AIR (OFF 5:51 PM ET, ETA 6:40 PM ET)
Today
YX 5638 · JFK → IAD
took off 5:51 PM ET · expected to land 6:40 PM ET (scheduled 3:53 PM ET → 5:24 PM ET)
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
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How late will it get to IAD?
LIVE
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On time or early
0%
-
15–30 min late
0%
-
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
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1–2 hours late
99%
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Over 2 hours late
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.