YX 5676 · BOS → RIC

departs 9:30 PM ET · arrives 11:32 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?

61% chance · ±0 pts +31 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to RIC?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
37%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9pm departures from BOS are often late

↑ BOS is prone to delays

↑ Arrivals into RIC at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precip0.31 in

RIC (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5676 · BOS → RIC

Odds over time

How late will it get to RIC?