Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 5, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5693
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 12 Today
YX 5693 · DCA → BOS
departs 11:47 AM ET · arrives 1:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 9:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/17 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
11am departures from DCA are often late
↑
BOS is busy at that time
↑
This flight has been late 17% of the time recently
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.20 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.31 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.