YX 5732 · BOS → LGA

departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 10:22 AM ET

Forecast issued Sun 3:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±6 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LGA?

On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 467 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at LGA that day

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ YX's recent on-time record

Weather at each end

BOS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.69 in

LGA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.8 mi Precip0.12 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

YX 5732 · BOS → LGA

Odds over time

How late will it get to LGA?