Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5025 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

9E 5025 · LGA → AVL

departs 9:23 AM ET · arrives 11:21 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?

10% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AVL?

On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↑ 9am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ 9E's recent on-time record

↓ AVL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

AVL (destination) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5025 · LGA → AVL

Odds over time

How late will it get to AVL?