Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5361 SCHEDULED

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

9E 5361 · LGA → PWM

departs 9:16 AM ET · arrives 10:38 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PWM?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at PWM that day

↑ 9am departures from LGA are often late

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Arrivals into PWM at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PWM (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.64 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5361 · LGA → PWM

Odds over time

How late will it get to PWM?