Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ENDEAVOR · FLIGHT 9E 5361 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

9E 5361 · LGA → PWM

departs 9:13 AM ET · arrives 10:36 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 9:00 PM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at PWM more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PWM?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at PWM that day

↑ 9am departures from LGA are often late

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

PWM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

9E 5361 · LGA → PWM

Odds over time

How late will it get to PWM?