Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1410 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 1410 · CLT → DEN

departs 8:20 AM ET · arrives 9:48 AM MT

Forecast issued Mon 3:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±4 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DEN?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at DEN that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DEN (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1410 · CLT → DEN

Odds over time

How late will it get to DEN?