Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 169 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 169 · LAX → HND

departs 12:34 AM PT · arrives 3:51 AM JST
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 41h before departure

Odds over time

Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.1d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HND?

  1. On time or early
    88%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    6%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.