tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 169 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 169 · LAX → HND

departs 12:48 AM PT · arrives 4:48 AM JST
Forecast issued Sun 2:00 PM ET · 62h before departure
Arrive at HND more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.2d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HND?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.