Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1956SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 1956 · LAS → PHX
departs 9:21 AM PT · arrives 10:40 AM MT
Forecast issued Sun 4:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
22%chance · ±2 pts−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHX?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.