tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2007 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2007 · DCA → DFW

departs 4:53 AM ET · arrives 7:19 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 10:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DFW?

  1. On time or early
    90%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.