AA 2359 · DEN → DFW

departs 1:00 PM MT · arrives 3:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 17h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±2 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at DEN that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DFW (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2359 · DEN → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?