Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2359 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Wednesday, October 14

AA 2359 · DEN → DFW

departs 1:09 PM MT · arrives 4:14 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

37% chance · ±3 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 0.733333 mi forecast at DEN that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at DFW that day

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility0.733333 mi Precip0.24 in

DFW (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2359 · DEN → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?