tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2409 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2409 · MIA → PHL

departs 8:11 AM ET · arrives 11:07 AM ET
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHL?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    4%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.