tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2491 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2491 · MIA → ORD

departs 5:15 AM ET · arrives 7:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
8% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to ORD?

  1. On time or early
    91%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    3%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    <1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.