Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Tuesday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2613 IN THE AIR (OFF 10:58 PM ET, ETA 11:53 PM MT)

Tuesday, October 13 Today

AA 2613 · CLT → PHX

took off 10:58 PM ET · expected to land 11:53 PM MT (scheduled 12:01 AM ET → 1:31 AM MT)

Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?

0% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHX?

LIVE

On time or early
100%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
0%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%; while it’s in the air they come from the FAA’s arrival estimate.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↑ PHX is prone to delays

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

PHX (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceiling10,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2613 · CLT → PHX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHX?