AA 2751 · CLT → BDL

departs 12:36 PM ET · arrives 2:42 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 12:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BDL?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at BDL that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 18% of the time recently

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BDL (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2751 · CLT → BDL

Odds over time

How late will it get to BDL?