Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2889 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 2889 · CLT → SAT

departs 10:13 AM ET · arrives 12:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Mon 5:00 AM ET · 29h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts22 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2889 · CLT → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?