Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2927 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 2927 · LGA → CLT

departs 9:30 AM ET · arrives 11:25 AM ET

Forecast issued Mon 4:00 AM ET · 30h before departure

Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLT?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 9am departures from LGA are often late

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ LGA is prone to delays

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

CLT (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2927 · LGA → CLT

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLT?