Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3218 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow

AA 3218 · CLT → BTV

departs 10:55 AM ET · arrives 1:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Mon 7:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at BTV more than 15 minutes late?

12% chance · ±2 pts −2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BTV?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at BTV that day

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ BTV usually runs smoothly

↓ Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

BTV (destination) Gusts24 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.08 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3218 · CLT → BTV

Odds over time

How late will it get to BTV?