Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 949SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 949 · JAX → DCA
departs 11:49 AM ET · arrives 1:44 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 9:00 PM ET · 39h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±2 pts+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.