Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1290
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
B6 1290 · ILM → BOS
departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 4:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 6:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 48%
Mon 10/12 44%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 48%
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 42%
Sat 10/17 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±1 pts
+23 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave ILM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BOS that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ILM
Weather at each end
ILM (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.