Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1290
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
B6 1290 · ILM → BOS
departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 4:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 PM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 50%
Mon 10/12 46%
Tue 10/13 58%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 30%
Fri 10/16 42%
Sat 10/17 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ILM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed – in 24h
–
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
14%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ILM usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ILM (origin)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.