Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1955
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 1955 · BOS → DCA
departs 4:40 PM ET · arrives 6:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 65%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 28%
Thu 10/15 38%
Fri 10/16 49%
Sat 10/17 31%
Sun 10/18 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±4 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
25%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
4pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
This flight has been late 41% of the time recently
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.02 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.