Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2255
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 2255 · BOS → DCA
departs 6:07 PM ET · arrives 8:08 PM ET
Forecast issued Mon 6:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 35%
Thu 10/15 40%
Fri 10/16 50%
Sat 10/17 33%
Sun 10/18 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
50%
chance · ±2 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
50%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
26%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
49%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
6pm departures from BOS are often late
↑
BOS is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.04 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.