Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2261
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
B6 2261 · BOS → MAD
departs 10:32 PM ET · arrives 11:23 AM CEST
Forecast issued Mon 8:00 PM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 52%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15 26%
Fri 10/16 30%
Sat 10/17 27%
Sun 10/18 24%
Odds over time
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MAD?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at BOS that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
10pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MAD
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.06 in
MAD (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.