Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4340
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13
C5 4340 · IAH → LBB
departs 12:01 PM CT · arrives 1:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 12%
Mon 10/12 22%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 22%
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at IAH that day
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
LBB is prone to delays
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.07 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.16 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.