Schedule: the flights that flew on Wednesday, Oct 7, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4340
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Wednesday, October 14
C5 4340 · IAH → LBB
departs 12:11 PM CT · arrives 2:03 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 4:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 22%
Tue 10/13 30%
Wed 10/14
Thu 10/15 23%
Fri 10/16 25%
Sat 10/17 22%
Sun 10/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave IAH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 1.2 in of rain forecast at LBB that day
↑
12pm departures from IAH are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↓
Wednesdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Arrivals into LBB at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
IAH (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LBB (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.64 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.