Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
COMMUTEAIR · FLIGHT C5 4342
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tuesday, October 13 Tomorrow
C5 4342 · CHO → IAD
departs 6:19 AM ET · arrives 7:10 AM ET
Forecast issued Mon 12:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Tue 10/13
Wed 10/14 19%
Thu 10/15 17%
Fri 10/16 17%
Sat 10/17 15%
Sun 10/18 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
6%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IAD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave CHO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Arrive at IAD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to IAD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↑
CHO is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Tuesdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CHO (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 5 mi Precip none
IAD (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.