tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Tuesday, Oct 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

CATHAY PACIFIC · FLIGHT CX 873 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

CX 873 · SFO → HKG

departs 12:36 AM PT · arrives 5:41 AM HKT
Forecast issued Sun 11:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Arrive at HKG more than 15 minutes late?
9% chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.1d 2d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to HKG?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    2%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    1%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.